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Jindal Stainless faces Q3FY24 EBITDA dip due to lower volume

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Large Corporate 20 Jan 2024 05:31 PM IST Live Mint

In the latest financial quarter, Jindal Stainless experienced a 6% quarter-over-quarter decline in volume, resulting in a 4.5% drop in standalone EBITDA to 1,020 crore, as reported by Nuvama Institutional Equities. Despite this setback, EBITDA per tonne increased by 1.3% to 19,938. The brokerage noted that the impact of lower volume and profitability, coupled with the anticipated growth slowdown in FY26, led to a 3.1% and 2% reduction in FY24E/25E EBITDA.

Jindal Stainless successfully managed to offset lower fixed-cost absorption by enhancing its product mix, contributing to a 10% quarter-over-quarter increase in gross margin to 58,503 per tonne. The consolidated EBITDA for the quarter stood at 1,250 crore, up 1.3% quarter-over-quarter, driven by improved performance from foreign subsidiaries and Jindal United Steel Limited's EBITDA.

Despite investing approximately 900 crore in capital expenditures during Q3FY24, including investments in an Indonesian pig iron plant and the acquisition of Rabirun Vinimay Private, Jindal Stainless saw a decrease in consolidated net debt to 4,825 crore. The brokerage mentioned that the in-principle approval for the sale of JSL Board's 26% ownership in Jindal Coke has been received.

Looking ahead, the brokerage predicts a 37% year-over-year profit growth in FY25, tapering to 10% in FY26. The benefits of the next phase of expansion, if any, are expected to materialise only in FY27 and beyond, prompting the brokerage to adjust its fair value estimate for the stock to ₹578 at 7x EV/EBITDA and downgrade it to 'HOLD.'