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With the Dalian benchmark increasing and Singapore prices falling, iron ore futures were trading in a small range as investors considered the demand picture in the absence of the expected monetary easing in China, the world's largest consumer. The most-traded May iron ore contract on China’s Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) ended the day 0.53% higher at 952 yuan ($132.29) a metric tonne, extending gains into a third consecutive session.
The benchmark February iron ore on the Singapore Exchange was, however, 0.46% less at $129.3 a tonne, as of 0725 GMT. China kept benchmark lending rates unchanged at its monthly fixing following the decision to hold its medium-term lending facility rate steady last week, meeting predictions and reflecting Beijing’s limited room for monetary easing amid pressure on the yuan. The market is concerned about the medium-to-long term demand outlook amid macroeconomic uncertainty, analysts at Huatai Futures stated in a note.
“Hot metal output stayed at a relatively low level compared to the same period a year before, but a downside room for ore prices might be limited as some mills still have the need to replenish feedstocks,” they added. Chinese steelmakers typically replenish feedstock to maintain normal production during the week-long Lunar New Year holiday break, known for logistical disruptions. Market participants are currently betting on the demand outlook in the first half of the year, analysts at Galaxy Futures (GF) said in a note.
Expectations mounted that steel consumption would increase in the first half, underpinned by demand from the infrastructure sector and a stabilising property market, GF analysts added. Other steelmaking ingredients on the DCE erased some early gains in the afternoon session. Coking coal slipped 0.19%, while coke added 0.76%. Steel benchmarks on the Shanghai Futures Exchange were broadly weaker. Rebar edged down 0.23%, while wire rod and stainless steel lost 0.58% and 0.49%, respectively. Hot-rolled coil remained unchanged.
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